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Showing posts with the label Middle-East

How to take on Russia via Syria - why did Russia become an obsession?

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The Syrian Civil War ending... and then what? from https://buffalonews.com/2018/04/17/ the-briefing-why-syria-matters/ In Syria, the battle for Idlib - until now occupied by terrorists affiliated and related to Al-Qaeda - is imminent. Other territories controlled by rebels - 'moderate' or not - are few and isolated. Kurds are negotiating with Assad and will likely see recognized part of the autonomy they ask, if Syria territorial integrity will be reconstituted. All in all, the war in Syria is coming to its conclusion - and the USA-led Coalition can't do much to hinder that, as we prefigured . So, is it almost done? Or do we have to expect other crisis and possibly escalations before we can call the conflict off? Of course, in a future perspective, one major issue will be Israel attitude - along with the ones of Saudi Arabia and Turkey on the backsides. Relationships between Israel and Syria will be difficult to normalize without finding a compromise over th...

Looking deep into the immigration wave

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The West awakes and abruptly - and eventually - notices the ongoing immigration crisis at its gates. Media and politic are focusing their and our attention to the borders, be them between USA and Mexico or Europe and Northern Africa and Middle East.  However, long waves come from afar and this situation has been developing for years. We mostly ignored the causes of this immigration, leaving them unchecked. Blitzkrieg on the economic front Some immigration is due to political chaos and ongoing conflicts. In many other cases, the reasons are economic. Choosing not to regulate the numbers and means of immigration, and not addressing its causes, we allowed it to become the major social issue that is presently confronting us. The issue is also moral and yet it also is made into a business with many illegal shades: moving immigrants closer to borders; employing them underpaid or leaving them without honest jobs at all, ready to be exploited by criminal organizat...

The cards on the table for Syria - nice missiles a-comin'!

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The situation around Syria is evolving in seemingly contradictory ways.     Following, I will speculate on why. Trump: shout loud, shoot blanks Let us start by looking at Trump: from 'America first' he apparently came to Obama's position 'don't Assad cross the red - chemical - line'. The red line was supposedly crossed at Khan Sheikhoun in 2017 and Trump answered 1 . Now we are oriented to the same direction. A chemical attack in Syria - no matter how dubious - is still a pretest for a military retalation. Trump is outlining his actual answers as roboant public declarations followed by pirotecnic - yet strategically useless - demonstrations of strength. It is thus evident that Trump is trying to appease 'interventists' and yet to prevent an escalation in Syria.  How can Trump prevent such an escalation? Besides him, the politic of the USA in the region in the last years has been focused on Assad's removal and on a regime...